Daily Analysis
|7 min ReadSunday Rebound: BTC Tap Dances at $93K as XRP & PEPE Lead the Charge | bitnews.day
A
Anonymous Author
Senior Analyst
Published
Jan 16, 2026
📌 Executive Summary
Quant Sentiment: The Fear & Greed Index ticked up from 25 to 26 (Fear). The market is slowly climbing out of the "Extreme Fear" trench, aided by a $260 Million short liquidation squeeze over the weekend.
The outlier: XRP has shattered the psychological $2.00 barrier, trading at $2.13. This move is decoupled from BTC and driven by fresh regulatory optimism in the US.
Risk-On Signal: While institutions rested on Sunday, retail traders aggressively bid up Memecoins. PEPE (+11%) and BONK (+8%) are signaling that risk appetite is alive and well.
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1. Market Sentiment: The "Disbelief" Phase
The Fear & Greed Index closed the day at 26.
Data Insight: It is rare to see "Fear" readings when Bitcoin is trading above $92,000. This divergence suggests we are in a "Disbelief" phase—investors are traumatized by Q4 volatility and refuse to believe the recovery is real until we break ATHs.
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2. Major Industry Flash: Sunday Surplus
XRP Breaks $2: XRP surged 8% to close at $2.13. Middle Eastern exchanges (specifically in UAE) reported record XRP volume pairs against AED, confirming heavy retail interest in the region.
VC Outlook 2026: Top Venture Capital firms released a joint outlook report yesterday. The consensus? Funding is back, but the bar is higher. The focus for 2026 is DePIN (Decentralized Infrastructure) and RWA, not just another Layer-2.
Bitcoin Core Activity: On-chain metrics show development activity on Bitcoin Core is ticking up, reversing a multi-year downtrend. This fundamental strengthening often precedes long-term price appreciation.
🚀 Alpha Watch: The DePIN sector is getting the VC money. Use our CEX Listing Timeline Tool to see which infrastructure tokens are launching this week.
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3. Mainstream Assets: Price & Technical Analysis
Bitcoin (BTC): $92,606 (+1.4% 24h)
The Move: BTC wicked up to $93,000 before settling. It is successfully holding the 50-day Moving Average.
Technical Note: The Daily RSI is resetting in neutral territory. This allows room for a push to $95k without being overbought.
Key Level: Bulls must defend $91,500 to keep this weekend structure intact.
Ethereum (ETH): $3,162 (+0.5% 24h)
Consolidation: ETH remains the quiet giant, consolidating near $3,200.
Bullish Divergence: The MACD is showing a bullish divergence on the 4H chart. A breakout above $3,250 could trigger a rapid catch-up trade.
Currency Check: *Trading the XRP breakout? Calculate your profits in BRL or AED instantly with our Crypto Converter.*
Solana (SOL): $135.69 (+1.0% 24h)
Momentum: SOL is holding above the critical $125-$130 support zone.
Target: Technicals point to a near-term target of $145.
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4. Hot Narratives: Retail is Waking Up
🏆 Winner: Memecoins 2.0:
* PEPE ($0.00000707): Up 11.2%. The frog continues to lead the Ethereum beta trade.
* BONK ($0.00001185): Up 8.0%. Solana's liquidity engine is firing up.
📈 Trend: DeAI (Decentralized AI): Following the Memecoin pump, capital is rotating into "Smart Memes"—tokens that combine AI narratives with community hype.
Regional Flow: Brazilian traders are heavily favoring DOGE (+0.9%) this weekend, viewing it as a safer beta play than newer memes.
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5. Strategy: Monday Morning Playbook
The Risk: "Sunday Pumps" often retrace on Monday morning when Asian professional desks open.
The Play: Watch XRP at $2.00. If it flips previous resistance into support, it is a buy. If it falls back below, it was a fake-out.
Rotation: Profits from PEPE are likely to rotate back into ETH or SOL later in the week.
🛡️ Security Tip: High volume weekends are prime time for phishing. If you see a "XRP Giveaway" stream on YouTube or X (Twitter), report it. It is a scam.
⚠️ Disclaimer: bitnews.day analysis is for informational purposes only. Manage your risk.
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